2023-24赛季欧冠四强神气跟着首回合斥逐已基本开朗，字据OPTA数据模子和各队近况，咱们不错作念出以下专科展望分析：

巴萨以99%的晋级概率遥遥跨越，4球上风加上零封让次回合简直失去悬念。巴黎思要翻盘需要复刻2017年诺坎普遗址的发达，但如今的巴萨刺目体系远比过去默契。历史上欧冠淘汰赛首回合4球落伍的情况下，从未有球队能竣事逆转。

阿森纳94%的晋级概率相通令东谈主信托。酋长球场3-0完胜皇马展现了枪手坚贞的为止力，而败落维尼修斯的皇马遑急端显着乏力。次回合皇马需要在伯纳乌至少净胜3球，但本赛季他们仅有一次单场净胜3球以上的发达。

国外米兰83%的晋级概率设立在他们持重的政策体系上。客场2-1治服拜仁让蓝黑军团占据先机，图赫尔的球队近期遑急后果低下，近5场比赛仅打入6球。劳塔罗领衔的国米反击线将在安联球场陆续制造威逼。

阿斯顿维拉72%的晋级概率体现了埃梅里杯赛行家的性情。多特蒙德思要翻盘需要在客场2-0取胜，但德甲球队本赛季欧冠客场发达平平，仅在小组赛治服过纽卡斯尔。

潜在爆冷点方面，皇马天然唯一6%的晋级概率，但要是贝林厄姆实时复出激活中场，互助罗德里戈的爆发，仍存在创造遗址的可能。多特蒙德28%的逆袭契机则依赖于泰尔皆奇的政策调治，若能变阵三中卫强化边路遑急，操纵阿德耶米的速率冲击维拉防地，能够能创造转念。

轮廓来看，巴萨和阿森纳凭借首回合的弘大上风和政策克制基本锁定四强席位。国外米兰和维拉天然晋级概率较高，但仍需警惕敌手的反扑。要是次回合莫得首要伤病影响，最可能出现的四强对阵将是巴萨对阵国米，阿森纳迎战维拉。这么的斥逐将意味着英超时隔两年再次有两支球队会师半决赛，意甲陆续清闲欧战积分榜的跨越上风，而姆巴佩、凯恩等巨星可能再次与欧冠奖杯交臂失之。

需要非常阐明的是，以上分析基于现时数据和球队近况，实质比赛斥逐还会受到临场变阵、裁判判罚、球员情状等不成展望身分的影响。但就现在神气而言，欧冠四强的模式如故初步线路。

","del":0,"gnid":"9c3769196d9f59dc1","img_data":[{"flag":2,"img":[{"desc":"","height":"427","title":"","url":"http://p0.img.360kuai.com/t11fd4c3301f59da9957833ca95.jpg","width":"640"},{"desc":"","height":"427","title":"","url":"http://p0.img.360kuai.com/t11fd4c3301b8addd9ccf8e4e5d.jpg","width":"640"},{"desc":"","height":"427","title":"","url":"http://p0.img.360kuai.com/t11fd4c33016d3b44f1c41f543c.jpg","width":"640"},{"desc":"","height":"592","title":"","url":"http://p0.img.360kuai.com/t11fd4c33015f59a8807316ae0a.jpg","width":"640"}]}],"original":0,"pat":"zzc,art_src_0,fts0,sts0","powerby":"cache","pub_time":1744238249000,"pure":"","rawurl":"http://zm.news.so.com/48d4d65aae9ab9b7e38881ce78cec73b","redirect":0,"rptid":"8f6a647bc0e1df63","rss_ext":[],"s":"t","src":"二言三拍","tag":[{"clk":"ksport_1:皇马","k":"皇马","u":""},{"clk":"ksport_1:多特蒙德","k":"多特蒙德","u":""},{"clk":"ksport_1:维拉","k":"维拉","u":""},{"clk":"ksport_1:巴萨","k":"巴萨","u":""},{"clk":"ksport_1:欧冠","k":"欧冠","u":""},{"clk":"ksport_1:国外米兰","k":"国外米兰","u":""},{"clk":"ksport_1:阿森纳","k":"阿森纳","u":""},{"clk":"ksport_1:英超","k":"英超","u":""},{"clk":"ksport_1:西甲","k":"西甲","u":""}],"title":"欧冠四强最新神气：西甲双雄红运迥异 英超或会师半决赛！","type":"zmt","wapurl":"http://zm.news.so.com/48d4d65aae9ab9b7e38881ce78cec73b","ytag":"体育:足球:国外足球","zmt":{"brand":{},"cert":"体育规模创作家","desc":"足球火线不雅察 体坛风浪争霸","fans_num":2744,"id":"3033031686","is_brand":"0","name":"二言三拍","new_verify":"7","pic":"https://p6.img.360kuai.com/t013e3184a1d8a65181.png","real":1,"textimg":"https://p9.img.360kuai.com/bl/0_3/t017c4d51e87f46986f.png","verify":"0"},"zmt_status":0}","errmsg":"","errno":0}